MODEL PERLINDUNGAN LAHAN PERTANIAN PANGAN BERKELANJUTAN MELALUI ANALISIS STRUKTURAL PROSPEKTIF (PROSPECTIVE STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS) DAN DINAMIKA SISTEM (SYSTEM DYNAMIC) DI KOTA TASIKMALAYA JAWA BARAT

Faqihuddin, Faqihuddin (2026) MODEL PERLINDUNGAN LAHAN PERTANIAN PANGAN BERKELANJUTAN MELALUI ANALISIS STRUKTURAL PROSPEKTIF (PROSPECTIVE STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS) DAN DINAMIKA SISTEM (SYSTEM DYNAMIC) DI KOTA TASIKMALAYA JAWA BARAT. Doctoral thesis, Universitas Pembangunan Nasional "Veteran" Jawa Timur.

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Abstract

The results of the Qualitative Content Analysis and Normative Policy Analysis conclude that policies related to Sustainable Food Agricultural Land (SFAL) Protection in Tasikmalaya City represent an integration of regional policies on food security, as well as farmer empowerment and protection. The results of the prospective MICMAC analysis, based on influence and dependence levels, show that the most critical policy variable in SFAL implementation in Tasikmalaya City is a Mayor Regulation derived from the Regional Regulation (Perda) on SFAL, which will determine the location and extent of SFAL. Key agricultural economic variables include land fertility, alternative farming options beyond rice, farming costs, the availability of irrigation infrastructure, and the cropping index. Meanwhile, the MACTOR analysis indicates that the most important actors are policy makers, namely government actors from both the executive and legislative branches (Mayor, Regional Development Planning Agency/Bappeda, village administration, National Land Agency/BPN, and Regional House of Representatives/DPRD). On the other hand, the most influential non-government actors are business actors, particularly property developers involved in housing, commercial buildings, shop-houses, and other constructed facilities. The feedback structure of the SFAL protection system generally consists of two subsystems: the paddy land conversion subsystem and the subsystem related to rice farming income and the number of rice farmers. There are two reinforcing loops, namely those associated with the reconversion between LP2B and non-LP2B land and with the increase in the number of rice farmers. In contrast, eight balancing loops are formed within feedback structures that involve land conversion to non-paddy uses or built-up areas. Given that the system structure is dominated by balancing loops, policy entry points aimed at protecting paddy land must focus strictly on controlling various forms of land conversion to non-paddy uses, including conversion to other types of agricultural land. The results of the policy intervention experiments indicate that the potential for LP2B conversion permitted under the Regional Regulation must be anticipated from the outset. Thresholds must be established for meeting the demand for non paddy and built-up land that may be fulfilled through the conversion of paddy land, particularly SFAL (Share of SFAL). Under a moderate scenario, with a maximum SFAL conversion share of 10 percent, the SFAL area can be maintained at 768.72 hectares by 2050. Under a strict scenario, with a 0 percent SFAL conversion share, the SFAL area can be maintained at 812.67 hectares by 2050. Both scenarios perform better than the baseline scenario (LP2B share of up to 20 percent), which results in only 744.92 hectares by 2050. The designation of SFAL should prioritize the allocation of paddy fields that have a low potential for land conversion. By considering the rice commodity suitability map, land use map, road network map, and data on the availability of irrigation infrastructure in Tasikmalaya City, areas with high conversion potential were identified, particularly along the Mangkubumi–Indihiang corridor (West–South Ring Road), around A.H. Nasution Road, the Governor Swaka corridor, the Mashudi corridor, and the North Ring Road area.

Item Type:

Thesis (Doctoral)

Contributors:

Contribution	Contributors	NIDN/NIDK	Email
Thesis advisor	SOEDARTO, TEGUH	NIDN0720065601	teguh_soedarto@upnjatim.ac.id
Thesis advisor	HENDRARINI, HAMIDAH	NIDN0727126002	hamidah_h@upnjatim.ac.id
Thesis advisor	MUBAROKAH, MUBAROKAH	NIDN0714116201	mubarokah@upnjatim.ac.id