NERACA PERDAGANGAN KOMODITAS DAGING SAPI DI INDONESIA PERIODE 2013-2023

Amijaya, Reza Agung (2025) NERACA PERDAGANGAN KOMODITAS DAGING SAPI DI INDONESIA PERIODE 2013-2023. Undergraduate thesis, UPN Veteran Jawa Timur.

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Abstract

The performance of Indonesia's beef commodity trade balance during the 2013–2023 period consistently experienced a deficit, caused by an increase in consumption that was not balanced by adequate domestic production capacity, thus leading to a high dependence on imports. This study aims to (1) analyze the performance of the beef trade balance, (2) identify the factors that influence it, and (3) analyze the role of government policy in supporting the trade balance performance. This research used secondary data from the 2013–2023 period, where the analysis was conducted through trend analysis and descriptive analysis. Subsequently, multiple linear regression (OLS) was applied to test the influence of beef production, consumption, the Rupiah exchange rate, and trade policy on the trade balance. The trend analysis results indicate that the trade balance deficit is consistent and is projected to continue increasing until 2028. Simultaneously, the four independent variables had a significant influence R² of 85.1% on the trade balance. However, partially, only beef production was proven to have a significant negative effect (an increase in domestic production can reduce the deficit). Government policies such as UPSUS SIWAB and SIKOMANDAN have not yet had a significant impact on overcoming import dependence. The study concludes that the main problem stems from the structural supply side, thus the improvement of the trade balance must be focused on increasing domestic production capacity and efficiency comprehensively and sustainably. Keywords: Trade Balance, Beef Commodity, Domestic Production, Deficit, Multiple Linear Regression.

Item Type:	Thesis (Undergraduate)
Contributors:	Contribution Contributors NIDN/NIDK Email Thesis advisor Hidayat, Syarif Imam NIDN0718026301 syarifimamhidayat@yahoo.com Thesis advisor Yuliati, Nuriah NIDN0712076202 nuriah_y@upnjatim.ac.id
Subjects:	S Agriculture > S Agriculture (General)
Divisions:	Faculty of Agriculture > Departement of Agribusiness
Depositing User:	Reza Agung Amijaya
Date Deposited:	24 Nov 2025 06:31
Last Modified:	24 Nov 2025 06:31
URI:	https://repository.upnjatim.ac.id/id/eprint/46965

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