Putrajaya, Bagas Adil (2024) PENERAPAN METODE TIME SERIES DALAM FORECASTING PENJUALAN PADA “NASI GORENG BACOT”. Undergraduate thesis, UPN Veteran "Jawa Timur".
![[img]](https://repository.upnjatim.ac.id/style/images/fileicons/text.png) |
Text (cover)
19082010096-cover.pdf Download (1MB) |
|
Text (bab 1)
19082010096-bab1.pdf Download (92kB) |
|
Text (bab 2)
19082010096-bab2.pdf Restricted to Repository staff only until 22 July 2026. Download (317kB) |
|
Text (bab 3)
19082010096-bab3.pdf Restricted to Repository staff only until 22 July 2026. Download (213kB) |
|
Text (bab 4)
19082010096-bab4.pdf Restricted to Repository staff only until 22 July 2026. Download (2MB) |
|
Text (bab 5)
19082010096-bab5.pdf Restricted to Repository staff only Download (74kB) |
|
Text (daftar pustaka)
19082010096-daftarpustaka.pdf Restricted to Repository staff only Download (8kB) |
|
Text (lampiran)
19082010096-lampiran.pdf Restricted to Registered users only Download (358kB) |
Abstract
The restaurant industry in Indonesia has experienced significant growth, driving the need for data-driven strategies to remain competitive. This study aims to apply and compare time series methods in forecasting sales at "Nasi Goreng Bacot" restaurant. The methods used are Simple Moving Average (SMA), Weighted Moving Average (WMA), and Single Exponential Smoothing (SES), with a focus on sales data from the year 2023. The research results indicate that SMA provides the most accurate predictions, with a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) value of 296.67, Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 129055.6, and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 3.02%. WMA and SES, although useful in certain data conditions, show higher error rates in this case. This study confirms the effectiveness of SMA in the context of stable and less fluctuating restaurant sales data. With these results, restaurants can plan their inventory of raw materials and workforce more efficiently, reduce waste, and improve customer satisfaction.
| Item Type: | Thesis (Undergraduate) | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contributors: |
|
||||||||||||
| Subjects: | T Technology > T Technology (General) > T58.6-58.62 Management Information Systems | ||||||||||||
| Depositing User: | Bagas Adil Putrajaya | ||||||||||||
| Date Deposited: | 23 Jul 2024 08:18 | ||||||||||||
| Last Modified: | 23 Jul 2024 08:18 | ||||||||||||
| URI: | https://repository.upnjatim.ac.id/id/eprint/27105 |
Actions (login required)
 |
View Item |