Fadilah, Rizka putri (2024) Analisis Dampak Fluktuasi Harga Beras Terhadap Kesejahteraan Petani Padi Di Provinsi Jawa Timur. Undergraduate thesis, Universitas Pembangunan Nasional "Veteran" Jawa Timur.
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Abstract
Rice is a staple food for many people in Indonesia, including in East Java Province. Therefore, rice should be available at an affordable price. However, current data shows that rice prices have increased along with production, such as in 2022 at Rp 9,647 and in 2023 at Rp 10,709. (Badan Pusat Statistik, 2023). The price of rice fluctuates every year, which can affect the welfare of rice farmers. Therefore, this study aims to 1) analyze the factors that cause fluctuations in rice prices and 2) analyze the impact of rice price fluctuations on the welfare of rice farmers. To calculate the welfare of farmers, the Farmer's Exchange Rate (NTP) method is used. The analysis is conducted using a simultaneous equation model, utilizing time series data from 2009 to 2023. The methods employed include Two Stage Least Square (2SLS) and Multiple Linear Regression. The research results indicate that 1) the factors influencing production are the previous year's rice prices and the area harvested. Meanwhile, the factors affecting consumption are the rice price variable and income levels, as well as the factors influencing rice prices, which include the price of milled dry grain (GKG), rice production, and the highest retail price (HET). 2) Meanwhile, regarding the welfare of rice farmers measured by the Farmer Exchange Rate, it is known that the Farmer Exchange Rate in East Java has fluctuated from 2009 to 2023. The highest contributor to the Rice Farmer Exchange Rate occurred in 2023, reaching 115.64%, with an average Farmer Exchange Rate for East Java from 2009 to 2023 of 102.86%. This indicates that the Rice Farmer Exchange Rate is in a surplus state, suggesting that rice farmers are prosperous.
| Item Type: | Thesis (Undergraduate) | ||||||||||||
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| Subjects: | S Agriculture > S Agriculture (General) | ||||||||||||
| Divisions: | Faculty of Agriculture > Departement of Agribusiness | ||||||||||||
| Depositing User: | Rizka Putri Fadilah | ||||||||||||
| Date Deposited: | 23 Sep 2024 04:17 | ||||||||||||
| Last Modified: | 23 Sep 2024 06:59 | ||||||||||||
| URI: | https://repository.upnjatim.ac.id/id/eprint/30265 |
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