Analisis Perkembangan dan Faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi impor gula di Indonesia

Syahnaz, Cindiah (2022) Analisis Perkembangan dan Faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi impor gula di Indonesia. Masters thesis, Universitas Pembangunan Nasional Veteran Jawa Timur.

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Abstract

Indonesia is an agricultural country with marginal land, and most of the population earns a livelihood as farmers because Indonesia's soil fertility is considered high in agriculture. As an agricultural country, the Indonesian economy is supported by several sectors, including food crops, plantations, forestry, livestock, and fisheries. Based on the Ministry of Agriculturedata during the 2013-2018 period, the accumulated additional value of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the agricultural sector reached Rp. 1.375 trillion and an increase of 47% compared to 2013 income for the Indonesian economy from agriculture. Seeing theimportance of sugar for meeting the needs of society and industry, sugar consumption has experienced a significant increase. At the same time, its production remains in a low position and has even decreased. This study aims to a) analyze the development of sugarcane plantation area, population, sugar consumption and national sugar production, b) analyze the development of sugar imports and their country of origin over the next 10 years and c) analyze what factors influence the amount of imports. sugar. The analytical method used to analyze developments using a forecasting model is the Trend Method (Long-Term Motion) using the Least Squares Method (the least squares method) through the excel program tool in addition, using Simple Linear Regression analysis to see the factors that affect imports. Sugar. The results show that a) The development of sugarcane plantation area and sugar production is decreasing while the population and sugar consumption are increasing in the period 2002 to 2019, b) Forecasting sugar imports in 2020- 2029 has increased by 4% annually and the State Thailand occupies the first level as the highest sugar exporter in Indonesia, and c) significantly sugar production has no significant effect on sugar imports, prob value. of 0.1653 while the significance level is 0.05 (0.1653 > 0.05), sugar consumption has a positive effect on sugar imports, the value of prob. of 0.0328 while the significance level is 0.05 (0.0328 <0.05), while the price of sugar has no significant effect on sugar imports, the value of prob. of 0.2715 while the significance level is 0.05 (0.2715 > 0.05). Keywords: Sugar Imports, Influencing Factors, and Trend Analysis.

Item Type: Thesis (Masters)
Contributors:
ContributionContributorsNIDN/NIDKEmail
Thesis advisorSoedarto, TeguhNIDN0720065601UNSPECIFIED
UNSPECIFIEDYuliati, NuriahNIDN0712076202UNSPECIFIED
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor > HD9000 Agricultural Industries
Divisions: Faculty of Agriculture > Magister Agribusiness
Depositing User: Fatchullah Fatchullah
Date Deposited: 05 Oct 2022 07:34
Last Modified: 05 Oct 2022 07:34
URI: http://repository.upnjatim.ac.id/id/eprint/9827

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